conjunction fallacy
noun1
The contradictory statement that the conjunction of two possibilities is more probable than one or both of those possibilities independently.
- Could the conjunction fallacy rest on students interpreting the experimental instructions in an unexpected way - misunderstanding, perhaps, what is meant by "probable"?2007 September 19, Eliezer Yudkowsky, “Conjunction Fallacy”, in LessWrong, archived from the original on 03 Feb 2026: